Sunday, December 12, 2010

Jags -3.5 vs. Just Win Baby

I'm riding these guys until they throw me off. The Jags are hot - red hot. Look for the Raiders to get a healthy dose of MJD and for the Jags to cruise to an easy victory.

Add in there the West Coast team coming East and you got yourself a healthy LOW.

To quote a former participant, just bang this and thank me later.

PTL

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

5 Teamer Basketball Betting Update Part 2.

"The Bar for Heroism has just been raised"--it'll mean something later, bare with me.

Wrapping up our look at the betting odds for the this years 5teamer pick selections. The only thing better than March Madness is betting on March Madness, why not get started in November right?

Of note, Martin Tyson is a newcomer to the pool, but not to Basketball betting online, but as traditionally happens, he's bringing up the rear. Congrats to Big Daddy, a fellow first-timer, for staying with the middle of the pack, this is often a tough nut to crack in your first year.

Tyson has the dubious honor, I believe, of going the longest before one of his teams picked up their first win in our pool history. Marist actually quickly won another game after the first (winning streak?) and is at two wins. This also means, he may have the additional honor, of the earliest tying of last year's record by a selection, and the earliest surpassing of it, as Marist had just one win last year.

I don't know much about Marist but I do know that their conference (the MAAC) is fairly solid with teams like Iona, and Geoff Perry's pick Fairfield, that Marist won't just plough through that part of their schedule either (even if extremely improved). Why would a guy pick a one win team from last year maybe "Martin Tyson" thought "Marist y nnot"?

This year, nobody, including the two newcomers, took an Ivy League team. Without a conference tournament it takes a special team to make up for those two or three lost win opportunities, as John Price, last year’s newcomer, discovered when he took Harvard.

Interestingly enough last year we had 18 different teams picked and this year it was 28. Not nearly as many commonalities which means more games to pay attention to. UNC was picked by six people, six people that are probably already regretting that selection, Pittsburgh by four people, four people probably relishing that selection, and Florida was picked by 4 people, four people probably not sure about their pick yet or not. Georgia and Arizona, two low cost teams, were picked second most 5 times each. Arizona is looking like a solid pick Memphis was the only other team to be picked by more than two people, selected three times.

In the past, usually groupthink gets you close to the top of the leaderboard. Only Bill P, selected the three most common teams (UNC, Georgia, Arizona), which means he’s really going to rely heavily on Minnesota and Baylor. Incidentally, he shares both those teams with one other player (Melissa for Minnesota, Jessica for Baylor). Eric Johnson’s slate also has a lot of common teams (UNC 6, Georgia 5, Florida 4, Memphis 3, and Illinois 2).

The thing that surprised me about Eric’s slate was picking two teams that will play each other at least twice with Florida and Georgia. He’s shortening his schedule by at least two games, and that’s an unusual selection for a veteran player. Pool leader Stephen is the only other player to have all his selections also picked by other players. Which is good for him, since he already has a lead, and it will be that much tougher for those with mutual teams to catch up to him.

Everybody else, had at least one unique pick in the slates. Martin Tyson picked the least most common slate with four teams selected only by him, and his fifth team Marquette, only selected by Melissa. Geoff Perry had three unique picks (well done on Connecticut, not so well done on Fairfield, and the schedule is tough for Michigan State but they do look like a contender). Geoff Roswick also had four teams picked only by him, but his fifth team North Carolina was picked by more than half the pool.

Also of note the top three, all went under the 100 win allotment. Quirky, but like them, I felt this year the best fits were either slightly over 100 or slightly under. Sometimes it works out that way. Course the season is early and anything can happen, and many years we’ve seen somebody not catch fire until the end of the season. Nobody at this point looks to be out of it, though if I were Geoff Roswick I’d be sending letters to Cal SB and Weber State telling them to get their act together, or at least get Harold "The Show" Arceneaux a New Orleans baller some more years of eligibility.



By the way Kevin Harlan, the original Gus Johnson?

Sunday, December 5, 2010

Rams -3.5 @ Arizona

Don't get upset with me Derek Anderson. Just calling it how I see it. Since nobody else is participating, I am owning the Cyber League and now going deep into my vault. Let's roll with the rookie QB and Rams in this crappy NFC West show down versus the Super Bowl runner ups (is this even a shadow of that team?).

Bonus pick: Saints -7. They are on the road. It is cold. Cincy sucks. I'd pick the Bears too but I think they are really "paper tigers".

Final bonus pick: Jags +3. Titans are at home but that team is a mess! Jags seem to be getting something going late here and need this game. Look for them to win on the road.

If the Lion picks and nobody notices, does it still count?

PTL

Friday, December 3, 2010

5 Teamer Basketball Betting Update Part 1.

About this time of year, I take over the blog for the CyberLeague 5 Teamer. This blog is about betting so it makes sense to have sports betting/pools be the subject of it in the winter. So, that's what I'm doing today by posting here. (Btw, Blake, your prize for the Lock of the Year championship is an additional piece of me in Saturday's poker tournament at Harrahs. I believe I was rolling over a "comped" percentage from partially backing me last year so now you'll have a bigger stake to sweat. I'll text you updates).

On to the show at hand and the first written analysis of this years 5 teamer. Our best slate so far has been Stephen Gerztoff, and therefore the guy who would seem to show the best Basketball betting prowess--please give us some freebie hoops picks when you get a chance.

Interestingly enough, the top four performers so far this year have yet to send in their checks (Stephen 1st with 35, Rory and Melissa tied for second with 32, and Shoats 4th at 31). Send yo' checks today. Let's not make this the basis for everybody being slow payers in the future.

Anyway Stephen's slate is Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, Missouri, and Pittsburgh. He shares two teams with Bill P, and Geoff P Arizona and Georgia. Arizona is already at 7 wins and the Pac 10 looks suspect again. Good pick. Georgia had a lot of hype and some talent but arguably has underperformed with only 5 wins. The SEC, particularly the East, is borderline loaded so we'll see how Georgia manages in the long run. It could prove to be Stephen’s Achilles heel.

Stephen's other three teams Illinois, Missouri, and Pittsburgh have 8, 6, and 9 wins. Pitt has the most wins of any team in the pool. The Big 12 also looks to be stocked with Texas, KState, Kansas, and Baylor playing at a high level. Missouri had Georgetown on the ropes and basically a miracle robbed them of their 7th win and extending Stephen’s lead on everybody in the pool. Kudos to Stephen for thinking outside the box and dodging UNC.

Personally, as I filled out my pool, I said what if the magazines are wrong about UNC's recovery, I bet I could pick up a lot of wins on everybody cause they look appetizing at 20. I didn't pull the trigger because of fandom and I hoped the freshmen were as good as advertised, which was better than they looked in the All-Star games. Stephen didn't have to worry about being faithful to the baby blues and it's paid off.

The next two players, Rory and Melissa also ducked Carolina. I'm really starting to like Rory's George Mason pick, though I could never pick the Goo Moos, I hope he's enjoying rooting for Coach Lasagna this year. He shares Illinois and Pitt with Stephen, so those two will let UCLA, Florida and George Mason do battle with Arizona, Georgia, and Missouri. If UCLA doesn't get its act together, advantage Stephen. If they do the two Florida-Georgia games should hold a lot interest for them.

I’m pretty sure Rory selected 14 win UCLA over 14 win Georgia based on the paucity of quality teams in the Pac 10. Georgia has more wins now, but the UCLA pick is definitely back-loaded which helps considering they have a young, but talented team, that might figure out what they are doing when they enter the easiest part of their season which is their conference play. Georgia season conversely gets harder, but they are a veteran team with some all SEC type players so that will be interesting to watch.

Melissa’s slate has the most balance in the pool, her being the only player with every team having at least six wins. At this point that could just be due to scheduling but it is worth keeping an eye on, as everybody else seems to have at least one possible anchor.

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Steelers -3

The Lion lost last weekend. Unfotunately into everyone's life a little rain must fall.

Today, I get back to "making it rain". That's right. You might be thinking dangerous pick -- Steelers on the road against a tough Dolphin team. You would be wrong. Steelers ride the momentum of Big Ben's return and win by at least 7.

Welcome to the return of the lion!

PTL

Monday, October 18, 2010

Monday Night Football

Hard to not pick the home team getting points.

I actually like the under 45... a lot.

That being said in a pool I'm in need Jacksonville to cover, so I will hedge here, against my better judgment and take TN.

Sunday, October 17, 2010

Broncos +3. on behalf of CyberShoats

Cyber if trying to fill his purse at the poker tables in AC. The Lion posts on his behalf. Hopefully this money pick doesn't fall on deaf ears...

CyberShoats & PTL

Da Bears -6.5

I'm like Richard Dawson in the Running Man -- I'm going to give the people what they want. Is the CyberLeague dead? Yes. Is the Lion on a four game hot streak? Absolutely. The roll continues today as the Bears win by at least a touchdown over the lowly Seattle Supersonic Seahawks. Look for the beastly defense of these hard-nosed Bears to carry the day.

"Bears are in the Indianapolis 500. They're driving a big bus."
"But who's driving the bus?"
"Ditka"
"Da Bears"

Keep the college funds rocking boys. Once this one hits, the question can finally be answered: If a Lion makes a money pick to a silent crowd, does anyone notice?

Prime Time @ FedEx tonight.

PTL

Sunday, October 10, 2010

Philly +3

Sometimes a team that shouldn't be "ofer" gets it together and figures it out. Kind of like the last five minutes of a Facts of Life episode where Blair, Tooty (so named because of being gasier than Rory after a burrito), and the fat chick see their commonalities and rally together. There is no sitcom moment for the Niners because other times a team just implodes and despite being better than their record, accepts their record and lets it define them. Usually that goes hand in hand with a coach who's lost the plot, like the KOD struggling with the Da Vinci Codes. Mike Singletary is that coach. Niners implode and all the strides they made in the offseason go astray even in primetime even at home. Doesn't matter who is playing them. Eagles are just lucky they ran into a franchise leaning harder on the self-destruct button than a Democratic Congress.

Falcons -3 ***Hot Streak***

Beware. I'm like butter...on a roll right now. Take the Falcons versus a weak Cleveland team to cover the 3. Road game? Doesn't matter. Take this one to the bank.

PTL

BLADE OF THE WEEK!!!!

OK, my first post of the year, been obviously tied up with film festival stuff, as I mentioned to a few of you that I would be months ago. Regardless, this is NOT a blade, much as I'm sure Geoff Perry would like it to be, this line is steady as a Brent Deets ride home (old school reference #1).

Houston -3. Bang the Texans. 100% of the time.

Gmen are 2-2. First win was a supremely sloppy home win vs. awful Carolina. Then two road losses by more than 2 TDs each. Followed by a home win in which they sacked Cutler 9 times in a half but only scored 3 points during it and won by more than 2 TDs only by a fluke play near the end and the Bears 2nd and 3rd string QB (and O-line) being horrendous.

Meanwhile, Houston beat Indy at home. The same Indy who pummeled the Giants. And, Houston will get back last year's defensive rookie of the year and also Andre Johnson for this game. Houston will win by double digits.

Bang it.

Sunday, October 3, 2010

Cincy... Road favorite in Rivalry game... oh well

Give me the Bungals and the T.O.chocinco show-0.

Texans -3 = Just Win Baby

I'm taking the Texans -3 over the Raiders. Does Oakland have a solid defense? Yes. Will they be able to stop this Texans offense that was embarassed last week vs. Dallas? No. Look for a nice rebound on the West Coast and PTL's third pick victory in a row.

If it were Chinese New Year, then this would be the Year of the Lion.

PTL

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Dane Cookie Monster...

Philly going rawdog all over the Jags. -3 as a road favorite.

Cincy -3

Loving some of the games this weekend. So in honor of all the birth/pregnancy announcements in the last week, I am going to provide you some picks that are pregnant with possibility. Got a kid on the way? Already have two or three? Then here is your opportunity to start setting aside soem college money.

Bang the Bengals -3. Easy cover for my LOW. I am going to give you the opportunity to stop now. DO NOT READ ANY MORE UNLESS YOU WANT TO BE RICH AND MAKE LOTS OF MONEY.

Okay - you are obviously still with me. Congratulations -- you now have a chance to parlay your winnings using my bonus picks.

Cowboys +3 -- dont get fooled by this game. Cowboys win in desparation with their backs up against the wall.

Redskins -4.5 -- do or die for the Skins. They win this game by a touchdown at least.

49ers -3 -- KC shouldn't be 2-0. San Fran bounces back in a tough road game to cover this spread.

Saints -3 -- these guys own Atlanta like General Sherman.

The picks are in. Locked and loaded. Earn some coin or ignore my wisdom.

Either way, consider the lion paid.

PTL

Monday, September 20, 2010

Buehler... Buehler.

Friday, September 17, 2010

Back to Back with the Saints...

Man this cc line game is turgid. Redbone comes out talking smack and doesn't even get a pick in week one. Do you Internet invalids not realize you can get these posts delivered to your email inbox and even post from there?

First off, looking back to last week, one great pick and one horrid one.

Let's start with the bad. Ro-ro, I thought this was the year the Texans finally got over the hump vs. the Colts. They did. Plus, Super Bowl losers rarely make the playoffs the following year... that means they drop divisional road games. Still, it's the Colts and Peyton Manning so I can see why you told conventional wisdom to download a brownload. Great line, which saves you from any more abuse.

Blake: Dolphins + Bills. Apparently Buffalo is frigid and turgid. Great pick. Nice win for the Skins at FedEx and nice class in not rubbing it in our faces either. Though as I told you on the phone during halftime, and it became true at the end, the Donovan McNabb era looks a lot like the Jason Campbell era. Zero touchdowns and if not for a defensive fluke play the offense is sputtering. Shanahan always wins early in the season. With Elway and TD, he won late in the season, lets see if Portis (who he already traded away once) and McNabb can do the same.

Alright, I'm taking the Monday Nighter and the Saints again.

I like the Niners to show up but the Saints are too much. Double digits again.

Oh and to spice things up a bit, and taking a page out of Kissal's book, I'm giving the leader of the CCLine come late October 5% of me in one of the tournaments I play in at the Harrahs Circuit Event. I will do the same at the end of the year for one of the January tournaments. I cash in about one out of four tournaments, so there's upside, sometimes the prize pools get juicy too. I have it: Bill 0-0-1, Blake 1-0-0, Rory 0-1-0. Correct?

The rest of you feel free to offer something of value (or for that matter something worthless) too.

Friday, September 10, 2010

Colts -2

the texans always choke against the colts...see capitals nhl playoffs...and I suspect they will do so again. they'll probably be winning at halftime. if the colts can keep super mario off peyton they should light them up and I dont see texans keeping up. you get a small line on the colts take advantage road opener or not. conventional wisdom would say avoid road favorites especially in home opener. I tell conventional wisdom to download a brownload.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Dolphins -3

Oh you can bang this one and thank me later. Bills are hur-ting. Dolphins roll in Buffalo.

Looking forward to heading to FedEx on Sunday night for the big opener. Huge game and the environment should be electric. I'm excited to see what McNabb can do for us.

Go ahead and fatten up your accounts. It's going to be a long, juicy season.

PTL

Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Give me the Saints

I know, I know. That line's way too big. It took overtime last year in the playoffs. Payback's a bitch. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Everything says the Vikings will keep it close. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.

Saints by double digits. Look out league it wasn't a fluke. And fans, look for a special Who Dat before kick off.


-Before Roro gets in a dizzy tizzy, I'll say what he's too scared to say.... the Cowboys will be super bowl champions this year and I'll be rooting for the winning home team on Turkey day and the same team in the doozy of a NFC Championship game.



Deadskins:


-Mike Shanahan always looks like he's passing a Buick. Everyday he he looks at Albert Haynesworth he must feel like he's passing one too.


-It'll feel like the Boys are playing the feeble eagles four times with McNabb quarterbacking in DC. It's okay McNabb will look like he's back in Philly as his uni gets green from eating turf all day.


-Dan Synder is probably the only man that could throw Scrooge McDuck's money at a whore and consider himself lucky to get a handjob. He's getting another one this year.


Iggles:


Andy Reid's stomach just finished eating his brain. No idea if that will be an improvement to his quarterback decision matrix that left him with Kevin Kolb and Mike Vick or not. Of the two choices, one guy trained pitbulls to maul each other to death, the other's arm throws like a pitbull is hanging from it.


The Iggles were the first team to put a jail in their stadium. No shocker there since these are the same people that boo Santa Claus and drink the downstream water of New Jersey. This year the only way they'll keep the fans there is if they keep 'em all locked in their little jail cell from weeks 1 and 2 when the season takes a turn for the ugly. This season will be about as humorless as an early morning breakfast with Ron Jaworski and Joe Theisman after they double teamed one of Steve Phillips ESPN's sloppy seconds. Yeah that's one of them below.


Gmen:


A Thundering herd of GNicksa@yahoo.com s. Ooh, scary. Lock up your girlfriends they are about to get leered at, creeped out, and shrugged at repetitively. How this franchise has multiple superbowls is as mystifying as how Mike Tyson can keep an armada of carrier pigeons without constantly picking feathers out of his teeth when he remembers he's Mike Tyson and eats them whole.


They live in New Jersey and share a home there with other New Yorkers. I've seen this show it's called the Jersey Shore. Eli Manning is that bitch Ronnie who can't hold his liquor, can't keep his girl, and thinks the fat chick he's hooking up with is actually twins. Their runningback looks like JWow but really is a lumpy Snooki. Btw, The Situation is playing for the Jets this year and he just got re-signed.


--If you guys are going to bring it, I suggest you bring it, because you just got doused in a juice-soon.

Pay the MGM Lion...

... Pay him handsomely.


Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Pay the Lion Returns

Typing fingers. Check.
Blogger login. Check.
Shoat's purse. Check.
Lots of winners. Check.

The Lion returns in rare form this year. Look for winners early and often and follow the lion on Proven Plays.com.

This advertisement is brought to you by PTL. Set it and forget it.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Can you smell it?

The smell of pigskin picks gone awry. New season, I plan to wipe up this league with a string of winners beginning with bonus college picks early on.

Bring it.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Five Teamer Sports Betting Winner

We have a winner in our sports betting five teamer college basketball challenge. Congrats to Rory O'Brien.

Rory's slate had a bit of a late season run, though he was never out of it, always just in hailing distance. Luckily for him the Big Pool winner was no other than Redbone himself, Eric Johnson, whose second slate took down the main prize. He did not use that slate in our pool.

Let's take a look at the season in a distant rear-view mirror. As a Duke hater, I'm loathe to pick them, however, at the beginning of the season I thought they were a legitimate national title contender. I thought KU would win but I thought Duke had the horses to get there. They had three major talents, and sometimes major college talents (Reddick, Hansbrough, Laettner, Ferry, Never Nervous Pervis Ellison) is all it takes, though it's easier with NBA guys.

Singler, Scheyer, and Smith don't look like go to NBA guys though they all could get floor time in the big league. However, they are great college players. The entire team was also veteran and dangerous. I opted not to pick them because they were pricey, Duke always is, however, that didn't stop me from taking Kansas and it turns out it shouldn't have stopped me from Duke.

In the past I've veered away from Mid-Major giants no matter how talented they may be because they never seem to have final four or finals potential. Butler was proof that picking them was just as wise as picking any Major. In fact, their easier conference schedule and that they beat some major programs in their loaded non-conference only solidified their strength as a pick. Congrats to the one of us that did pick them Mr. Seven Gersztoff.

Texas was one of our biggest disappointments, if Georgia Tech didn’t have just 12 wins last year, they arguably would be too. They have a lot of talent. Good thing Georgia Tech is cheap and doesn’t want to buy out Paul Hewitt for Paul Hewitt’s sake. Nobody had a terrible, terrible year, sometimes players barely get over the 100 win threshold. Newcomer John Price can hold his head up that even though he came in last he was still 20+ games better than last year.

Will Rory have any NBA basketball
Basketball betting now that college basketball is in our distant mirror? That is the question my friends.

Though transitioning from March Madness to the NBA playoffs is a bit like divorcing Angelina Jolie and marrying Roseanne Bahr. Where is the mystic, the madness, the majesty, the passion, the pageantry, and the poignancy. A theme song to end the night “One Shining Moment,” brings some men to tears. The only thing that brings a fan to tears about the NBA is when they take a ball to the nose from an angry Ron Artest.

So, who does Rory like the Cavs, the Lakers, the Mavs, or the Bulls? Who really cares. Not about Rory’s expertise but about the subject matter. Isn’t the next best thing in sports going to be the World Cup tournament. Surely we’ll do a sports pool focusing on the World Cup and not the NBA playoffs. Besides paint drying, the NHL ice freezing, and just short of Astro Turf growing the NBA playoffs is entertaining.

Also, will this blog be used by our wager makers in the future? I've certainly taken it over with the five teamer madness but I trust the Lock of the Weekers will be back. Lord knows it’s fun to watch somebody on a Schneide and best against them.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Hoops Pool

There is a clear cut line about complete abject failure in the 100 win college basketball hoops pool. That line is 100. If your five teams you picked from last year fail to win their total of last year... you did a terrible job, and should never think about sports betting again. Or at least wagering on college basketball.

Maybe you should bet on the NFL, or try the National Heads Up Poker Championship Brackets. Well, actually if you can't get over 100 wins by the time the season is over you are better off curling into a little ball setting yourself on fire and trying to put it out with a battle axe and by chewing on grenades. Last thing you should do is spend any more of your hard earned money gambling.

It's not hard to do. And lucky for your players nobody was that stupid this year. Right now, everybody has already passed the mark. Newcomer John Price is the lone exception but he's at 99 wins. I'm sure Kentucky, Kansas, St. Johns, Arizona or Harvard will give him a win before the season expires. By the way, John was one of two players to pick an Ivey league team. The other is a league veteran. Psssssst... the Ivey league doesn't have a conference tournament. Hard to make up three missed games.

At the top of the leaderboard it's a bit of six man race. The trio are up a game on myself, Eric Johnson, and Rory O'Brien. I still believe the trio won't be beat.

Let's assess my chances Charlotte can't win a basketball game even if the other team stays home. They are in a free fall and things don't get any easier for them to end the season and in the A10 tournament. Might be my best chance, as one of my opponents mentioned, is for them to be the last team out in the NCAAs and get hot in the N.I.T. and backdoor some wins. Probably won't be enough. The other team having me tear my diminishing hair off my head is the 'Eers of West Virginia.

Please they have as much chance of stringing together a streak of wins as you do finding one of their fans with a full row of front teeth. Don't get me started on Ole Miss. That's what I get for picking a team that is thinking about adding a mascot from a sci-fi movie that is over thirty years old. General Ackbar? How does this happen.

Rory's problem is also West Virginia's consistency. It was in West Virginia that Ifirst heard the "Do you want to see my mouse tatoo," then after an underwear tug down and not tatoo the punchline "I guess my p***y ate it." I've since seen it on one of the reality shows my wife watches and I sometimes pay attention to, Real Housewives of Orange County.

Contrasting the fake bake, silicone injected housewives with what passed for a woman, that hooved creature with the shape of a soft-serve ice cream gone awry, that told me that joke is like comparing West Virginia to a decent team in the pool like Georgetown who could actually beat anybody that's decent (course Georgetown can lay some stinkers too).

Eric Johnson has Ole Miss, did I mention general Ackbar.

The best pick so far in terms of win/losses is Charlotte which is already plus 8 from last year. Georgia Tech is plus 6. Oregon is plus 4 and so is Kentucky and Harvard. The worst picks are Arizona -8, Mississippi State -3.

Also, five of you have yet to pay me. Ship the chedder boys.

Friday, February 5, 2010

Correction...

Sorry Chris has Tennessee as his tiebreaker. They had 21 wins last year.

NCAA Hoops Pool 5 Teamer...

This has been a rough hoops year for me on a personal level (see the hapless North Carolina Tar Heels and a Richmond team more likely head to the N.I.T. than the NCAAs) but from a sports betting perspective it's hard to not get excited. There is a five way tie for first in the hoops pool with some of my favorite bettors leading the way.

Five way tie for first. Five men on the court. Five Dollar Footlong. Five Finger Discount. Five. Five. Five. Five is way too many.

Let's break them down. The slate(s) most likely to win is the trifecta: Andrew Bird, Chris Brancati, and Davey Bourg (right now only one of them has paid so he's probably the favorite of the bunch). They all have Kansas, Kentucky, Texas, Georgetown, and Georgia Tech.

Those five in all liklihood will have the same wins for all three players. Thus if they finish first the tiebreaker will be implemented. The tiebreaker is they had to pick one team from last year, with any win total, and whatever they win this year they subtract from last years total.

Bird picked a midwestern team, Detroit. Detroit is known for having houses for sale that are going for less than a slice of bread, Dick Vitale coached the college team and the pro team there before ESPN decided to torture their viewers and hire him for broadcasting, and lastly Bill Laimbeer was well known for coaching his fellow whiny bitches to an WNBA title. I believe he was the first awash-in-estrogen coach to win a title. He's like the reverse Jaime Lee Curtis. If he's married to a woman he's a lesbian, and he could Lisa Leslie a run for greatest Big Woman ever.

What about the Detroit team as a tiebreaker. He got off to a good start. Last year they had 7 wins. This year they are up to 14. That's plus 7? Is that any good. I don't know, I haven't added up the other two.

Davey Bourg also went with a good 'ol midwestern team Indiana. The land of Bobby Knight, Mike Davis, candy striper pants on boys, and now Tom Crean. Indiana also had a measley win total with 6. Now they are up to 9. That's plus 3. Indiana is also involved in the Big 10's failed attempt to become relevant in sports by raiding Pittsburgh or some other school from the Big East. Um... no. Notre Dame or nothing but really what's so precious about Notre Dame right now. College Football has passed that league by.

Chris Brancati selected, and I think this must be a typo, Washington. Really? They had 26 wins last year, this year they have 14. If USC was allowed to play the Pac 10 tournament this year it would have been possible for the Pac 10 to get zero bids. As it stands they'll get one and it won't be Washington unless they win the tournament, in fact, that is true for every team but USC.

The other picks tied for first include myself. Here's why I won't win. Instead of Texas, Georgetown, and Georgia Tech, I have West Virginia, Ole Miss and Charlotte. Let's just compare them in that order. Texas is a top five team. Sure they had a swoon in January but that is nothing new for Rick Barnes and their yearly bounce back in February and sometimes in March makes them a safer bet than the Big East Burdened West Virginia.

Georgetown-Ole Miss should be advantage me, but Ole Miss can't beat Arkansas which is a
supposed gimme. The SEC might be more tightly bunched than the Big East which despite being loaded at the top has a lot of gimmes at the bottom. Lastly Georgia Tech-Charlotte. The A10 has 6 teams with NCAA aspirations and at this time resumes. Georgia Tech plays in the ACC which actually has fewer candidates. They are probably only second to Duke. At this point it's hard to suggest Charlotte is second best in their league. Advantage trifecta.

The other guy in first is Eric Johnson. He has Kansas, Kentucky, Texas, Georgia Tech and Ole Miss. He's got a shot depending on how deep Ole Miss goes in their conference tournament. If somebody can knock off Gtown for him and Ole Miss can win a couple of games he might pull it off. Ole Miss, is generally a stellar team for a deep run. Experienced starting lineup, great guard play, and underrated, however they are Krispy Kremes with a hole in the middle with no center or inside game to speak of at all.

I should mention that Rory Obrien is only one game behind. He's got West Virginia instead of Texas. I'll be surprised if the 'eers outwin Texas. According to the eye test Texas would handle them, and there are a lot of opportunites for wins in the Big 12. Texas isn't just good at college football these days.

Conclusion: Andrew Bird will be our winner, unless Chris Brancati actually picked another team and I typed in the wrong one.

Tuesday, January 5, 2010

5 Teamer Hoops Pool

The 5 Teamer isn't exactly sports betting but it's not far off. This blog is essentially devoted to sports betting so this is as good as place as any to put the updates. So here you go.

Anyway, ya'll know the rules pick 5 teams whose win total from last year can't exceed 100. The slate with the most wins this year wins. I haven't done my customary analysis and prognostications but now they conference play is almost here I feel it's a good time.

Here's the Leaderboard:

Playas W L Rank
Andrew Bird 64 4 2
Bill Phillips 61 6 6
Chris Brancati 64 2 2
David Bourg 64 4 2
Eric Johnson 65 5 1
Geoff Perry 55 13 10
Geoff Roswick 63 8 5
John Price 56 14 8
Steve Gersztoff 56 12 8
Rory O'Brien 61 5 6

Number 1 you'll see is Eric Johnson he's probably made the best sports bets of anybody. His slate is:

Eric Johnson LY W L
Kansas 27 13 0
Kentucky 22 15 0
Texas 23 14 0
Georgia Tech 12 11 3
Ole Miss 16 12 2
100 65 5

Kansas was picked by every single player in the pool which was the safe bet. Therefore this years 5 teamer works like a 4 teamer. Kentucky was picked by all but Steve Gersztoff (everybody is betting on the favorites). Their 15-0 record and a slightly weak SEC East probably has Steve wondering if he could do it over again. Texas was interesting as it was picked by 6 out of 10 players. Three players had the exact same slate (Kansas, Kentucky, Texas, Georgetown and Georgia Tech) and they all got it right by selecting Texas.

I would be stunned if anybody without Texas wins this pool. West Virginia was the same price (23 wins) and two players myself, and Rory took the 'eers instead of the longhorns. I'm embarrassed to say I thought Damion James left last year and didn't want to rely on so young a team that would have some freshmen as its best players. With all the hype Wall is getting at Kentucky there are a couple of Longhorns that are getting overlooked and are truly impact freshmen.

Texas will win a lot of games and lose few. They also play in the big 12 which is arguably a much easier road to hoe than the big east this year. Us Mountaineer "fans" better hope for a truly magical conference season but I suspect it won't happen.

Back to Eric Johnson's slate his fourth team is Georgia Tech which six players own. I view GA Tech as a suspect pick and selected Charlotte instead. Well, GA Tech is supect but Charlotte is probably more suspect. The A10 is loaded this year with 4 or 5 teams competing for at large spots and while Charlotte is good they are probably the least of the best. In the ACC, Georgia Tech is probably the third or fourth best team. Despite a loss to in-state rival, Georgia Tech will have a better chance to win more games than Charlotte.

His fifth team was Ole Miss, which I was the only other player to pick. I loved this pick in the preseason. I still like it. Miss St is good but I think teams like Ole Miss improved moreso than Miss St and they can win the SEC West with Bama, Auburn, LSU, and Arkansas all relatively down. Georgetown like Ole Miss also had 16 wins and many probably considered one or the other. And I'm not sure here if Eric made the right decision. The Big East is loaded but Georgetown is really firing on all cylinders. Sure they dropped one at home to ODU but that's a good mid-major team (that beat them at Georgetown in their recent final four year too--I think).

There are several rules I look to win doing this pool and one of them is to have as few of my teams play each other. Therefore I don't like conference mates. Eric's Ole Miss team definitely plays Kentucky once this year and might play them twice. As it's a split conference it's not as egregious a strategy flaw but it's still a mistake. Upside he'll get a least one win when they play, downside is he loses an opportunity for two wins.

The triumvirate is 2nd with the same slate as Eric (except for Georgetown over Ole Miss). Thus, I make them the favorites to win our pool. Odd, because the slate that jumped out of the magazine when I set about to do this was the five they chose. I wanted to be a little different but variation for variation's sake was a bad strategy. The best 5 is probably the most obvious.

Geoff Roswick is just behind with the same foursome but instead of Ole Miss or Georgetown he went with Denver. Denver got beaten up a little bit in noncon but if they can pull a Gonzaga on their conference, Roswick might be able to make up the difference. They'll hurt him in March but but if he can somehow get four games up on Gtown or Ole Miss he could win it (he's down two so that's at minimum a six game swing that'll he'll need to win so could be tough).