Friday, December 3, 2010

5 Teamer Basketball Betting Update Part 1.

About this time of year, I take over the blog for the CyberLeague 5 Teamer. This blog is about betting so it makes sense to have sports betting/pools be the subject of it in the winter. So, that's what I'm doing today by posting here. (Btw, Blake, your prize for the Lock of the Year championship is an additional piece of me in Saturday's poker tournament at Harrahs. I believe I was rolling over a "comped" percentage from partially backing me last year so now you'll have a bigger stake to sweat. I'll text you updates).

On to the show at hand and the first written analysis of this years 5 teamer. Our best slate so far has been Stephen Gerztoff, and therefore the guy who would seem to show the best Basketball betting prowess--please give us some freebie hoops picks when you get a chance.

Interestingly enough, the top four performers so far this year have yet to send in their checks (Stephen 1st with 35, Rory and Melissa tied for second with 32, and Shoats 4th at 31). Send yo' checks today. Let's not make this the basis for everybody being slow payers in the future.

Anyway Stephen's slate is Arizona, Georgia, Illinois, Missouri, and Pittsburgh. He shares two teams with Bill P, and Geoff P Arizona and Georgia. Arizona is already at 7 wins and the Pac 10 looks suspect again. Good pick. Georgia had a lot of hype and some talent but arguably has underperformed with only 5 wins. The SEC, particularly the East, is borderline loaded so we'll see how Georgia manages in the long run. It could prove to be Stephen’s Achilles heel.

Stephen's other three teams Illinois, Missouri, and Pittsburgh have 8, 6, and 9 wins. Pitt has the most wins of any team in the pool. The Big 12 also looks to be stocked with Texas, KState, Kansas, and Baylor playing at a high level. Missouri had Georgetown on the ropes and basically a miracle robbed them of their 7th win and extending Stephen’s lead on everybody in the pool. Kudos to Stephen for thinking outside the box and dodging UNC.

Personally, as I filled out my pool, I said what if the magazines are wrong about UNC's recovery, I bet I could pick up a lot of wins on everybody cause they look appetizing at 20. I didn't pull the trigger because of fandom and I hoped the freshmen were as good as advertised, which was better than they looked in the All-Star games. Stephen didn't have to worry about being faithful to the baby blues and it's paid off.

The next two players, Rory and Melissa also ducked Carolina. I'm really starting to like Rory's George Mason pick, though I could never pick the Goo Moos, I hope he's enjoying rooting for Coach Lasagna this year. He shares Illinois and Pitt with Stephen, so those two will let UCLA, Florida and George Mason do battle with Arizona, Georgia, and Missouri. If UCLA doesn't get its act together, advantage Stephen. If they do the two Florida-Georgia games should hold a lot interest for them.

I’m pretty sure Rory selected 14 win UCLA over 14 win Georgia based on the paucity of quality teams in the Pac 10. Georgia has more wins now, but the UCLA pick is definitely back-loaded which helps considering they have a young, but talented team, that might figure out what they are doing when they enter the easiest part of their season which is their conference play. Georgia season conversely gets harder, but they are a veteran team with some all SEC type players so that will be interesting to watch.

Melissa’s slate has the most balance in the pool, her being the only player with every team having at least six wins. At this point that could just be due to scheduling but it is worth keeping an eye on, as everybody else seems to have at least one possible anchor.

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