This weeks Sports Bet, Green Bay -5.5

Shame that was the opening line. I'll take the -6 legends is offering. Despite most of the other sites up to 7 or 6.5. I've been a fan of the progress in San Francisco but I can't help feeling like they hit a hump they couldn't climb and now the "Ship B Sinking." The niners have brought intensity every game but though they share that with their coach, they share little else with All Pro legend Mike Singletary. When I'm on the NFL I can't help but consider the pysche of the players on either team.

Greeen Bay certain has the better pysche right now. When sports betting this is the most overlooked aspect of picking games. What is the mental state of the team. Do they rise up to must win games or wilt. Are their skill players clutch. Will the home fans push them on or bury them with boos.

Philadelphia's home crowd, a little bit like the Yankees in baseball, can carry a team to victory when things are going right, or if they are enamored with the team or coach, but if things are going bad, or if they've soured on a formely star player, they can be opressive and worse than a road crowd. It's one thing to hear boo-birds on the road that can almost be uplifting and gratifying, but it's another thing entirely when it's you home fans doing the booing.

In football, there is a lot of momentum from week to week, and things like travel schedule, short weeks vs long weeks, bye weeks vs. nonbye weeks all can effect the temperment of a football team. They all have to be considered.The Niners come in a little bit wounded, they've had some tough games, some hard losses, and they are finding they are good but not good enough. Singletary's presence alone might be commanding enough to keep them in the thick of things, but probably not.

The Niners since Steve Young last played there have wilted like California Grapes in the sun. The raisins behind Jeff Garcia's limp-wristed San Francisco treats usually meant a pile of interceptions for the other team. The Alex Smith experiment has failed, miserably. Who else has been quarterback for that woeful team? Jim Druckenmiller? They've had more one game failures then Roger Federer's opponents.

Meanwhile, Green Bay should be able to get a big lead and hold it. They'll be rolling at home and already beat a much better Dallas Cowboys team by a far bigger margin. Their defense is fairly solid and Brett Farve's replacement still isn't better than Brett Farve and that silver-haired veteran is like 60, but Aaron Rogers is pretty competent. It's hard to remember that he played at Cal along the same time Matt Leinert, you know mired in medocrity Matt, who played at USC and was considered the better player.

This game is as close to a gimme as there is, bet the house especially if you can get it at under 6 like it opened.