Roll the points over, roll the points over...

The pick of the week is New Orleans/New England over 56.5 on MNF. Saints have trouble with stopping the rush, New England won't be able to contain the passing game. It all should lead to an over.

My Pimp Hand is Strong

Why waste time...

Houston +3 -- Houston wins this game outright and the JuiceMan's calling it. Indy's been dying for a loss and Texans are happy to oblige today

As my boy LL says, "Don't Call it a Comeback, I've Been Here for Years"

Stay Thirsty My Friends

Betting Football Spreads, Go With What You Know

Or go with the flow, or go with the ice floe, or keep taking what you been raking, or once you back the pack don't go back. Last couple of weeks in sports betting I've taken Green Bay and this week was going to be no different. Just didn't get the pick in. Thanksgiving got in the way. You ever notice, aaron Rogers is looking like professional poker player Scott Fischman, but he always does, and Fischman who won two quick bracelets has kind of disappeared from the scene.

He's still around somewhere but like many poker players a brilliant year of success is followed by many dull ones. Will Aaron Rogers go the way of his doppleganger? Or will he be the second coming of that guy with a bit part as the funnily named beau in "There's Something About Mary" Brett Far-ve. Speaking of dopplegangers will the Cowboys doctor who looks like Warren Buffet become an incredible investor? These questions continue unabated.

Incidentally, speaking of poker flash in the pans, Chris Moneymaker won an online poker tournament this week. Long time coming. And Darvin Moon may have been spotten in a New Orleans poker room at Harrash wearing a WSOP shirt. Must be here for the monday nighter.

If there is one thing I've learned pissing off West Viriginians is fun, see N.I.T. game between UR and West Virginia when we were in... Mardi Gras gear. Now, the mountaineer is here... in New Orleans it all comes full circle. I plan on heading to Harrahs to wreck havoc on Moon at the pit games like three card poker and Texas Hold 'Em that he's dumb enough to prefer over the cash games.

What does this randomness have to do with my pick this week? Well, since the Pack can't be backed, and in honor of Darvin Moon being in town I'll tackle the Patsies-Saints. This is a brown bag special if there has every been one.

The Patsies used to be a laughingstock of the league. Even when they went to the Superbowl they were a joke and the Bears treated them like a honey ham. The Saints, the original bags on head, want to become what the Patsies transformed themselves into and the Saints might be able to.

Brees and Brady's clash will only be the second time in NFL history (Fouts-Marino) that two 4,000 yards in a season passers have clashed. I know you'd think Peyton would be in that category but whenever they said it on CBS they didn't address it. The Saints receiving corp is perhaps more dangerous than Moss and the rolling stoned that suit up for New England.

Oddly, perhaps because of the decimated Saints secondary 5 dimes has dropped this game to a pick em. What? Outside of Minnesota the Saints have looked like the best team in the league. Indy to me, is inferior to the Black and Gold and even they pulled out a win vs. New England at home. By the transitive property, which never works, the Saints will win by a touch down or more.

The atomospher will be crazy and the Patsies won't be able to halt the Saints win streak yet. Give me the home team. Me Darvin Moon and Mo will be all pysched to see the bless you boys win and the Belicheats lose.

early turkey week LOW

stuff this.....have had a rule for 4-5 years to never bet on an Al Groh coached team. I've broken that rule before unfortunately and on Al Groh's swan song game at UVA I'm doing it again. give me Al Groh & UVA +16. they should be motivated by rivalry game that has been dominated by tech & last game to finish on good note. I suspect they can keep it closer than spread but I say with lack of total confidence of course b/c.....Al Groh.

I also like Illinois to cover 20.5 in game Cincy might mildly overlook in non conf game late in season looking toward pitt game even though need to stay undefeated. Illinois also faces better comp week in week out in big10 so cincy wont overwhelm them.

but stuff it with UVA as the low.

I also understand Eddie B. has a serious gf. could an engagement/wedding be possible in 2010? I wont lock that up, wouldnt be fair but newsworthy.

Houston, we have an Over

I owe you boys a winner and tonight we all win as the Texans and Titans light up the scoreboard. I'm taking the Over 48 tonight.

Stick with the program. Bingo.

Houston, we have a winner

Give me the Texans minus 4 on MNF. Vince Young's little winning streak ends like a Perry game of...well, pick any sport. Point is, it ends badly and with a lopsided loss.

And Per, you might have followed up my hot pick winner last week if you didn't have green glasses on. Do your research, know your role and leave picking the winners to people who have experience doing it.

Follow up my pick if you like money, Iceman. But I would prefer you didn't.

Silverdome Special

That's right, the Lions minus the points v. Cleveland. I've been waiting all season to write that. The USA Today has the line at anywhere b/w 3.5 and 2.5, but most sites have it at 3.5, so that's fine with me. Hit it and go buy back the Silverdome.

Since its clear the football is no longer on the radar here, I updated everyone's (for those who entered) 5-teamer totals. Sorry if I missed Blake or anyone else. I know SK will update on Tuesday, but in the meantime:
L3K-- 14 (Butler 3, Oregon, 3, G'Town 3, Kansas 3, Miss St 2)
Ezedcota-- 14 (Charlotte 2, Kansas 3, Kent 4, Ole Miss 4, WVU 1)
EJ 1-- 15 (Ga Tech 2, Kansas 3, Ky 4, Ole Miss 4, Texas 2)
EJ 2-- 14 (Ga Tech 2, Kansas 3, Ky 4, Ole Miss 4, WVU 1)
Perry-- 14 (Kansas 3, Ky 4, Long Beach 3, Princeton 2, Texas 2)
Roro-- 13 (G'Town 3, Ga Tech 2, Kansas 3, KY 4, WVU 1)

A lot of close games and early losses, so far. Could be a very long 4-and-a-half months until the end of March.

Eagles -3

Lock & Load boys the thermastat just started to climb - Eagles win this game by double digits

PTL - I "posted" on Proven Plays. Also dropped in a few college hoops picks to start calibrating my stroke on that side.

Cyber - do you even post on this blog anymore...I'm still trying to remember the last game you hit. You're like Eli, you haven't won a game since October


Trent "The Hitman" Cole

Vandy +17

thats all vandy +17

This weeks Sports Bet, Green Bay -5.5

Shame that was the opening line. I'll take the -6 legends is offering. Despite most of the other sites up to 7 or 6.5. I've been a fan of the progress in San Francisco but I can't help feeling like they hit a hump they couldn't climb and now the "Ship B Sinking." The niners have brought intensity every game but though they share that with their coach, they share little else with All Pro legend Mike Singletary. When I'm on the NFL I can't help but consider the pysche of the players on either team.

Greeen Bay certain has the better pysche right now. When sports betting this is the most overlooked aspect of picking games. What is the mental state of the team. Do they rise up to must win games or wilt. Are their skill players clutch. Will the home fans push them on or bury them with boos.

Philadelphia's home crowd, a little bit like the Yankees in baseball, can carry a team to victory when things are going right, or if they are enamored with the team or coach, but if things are going bad, or if they've soured on a formely star player, they can be opressive and worse than a road crowd. It's one thing to hear boo-birds on the road that can almost be uplifting and gratifying, but it's another thing entirely when it's you home fans doing the booing.

In football, there is a lot of momentum from week to week, and things like travel schedule, short weeks vs long weeks, bye weeks vs. nonbye weeks all can effect the temperment of a football team. They all have to be considered.The Niners come in a little bit wounded, they've had some tough games, some hard losses, and they are finding they are good but not good enough. Singletary's presence alone might be commanding enough to keep them in the thick of things, but probably not.

The Niners since Steve Young last played there have wilted like California Grapes in the sun. The raisins behind Jeff Garcia's limp-wristed San Francisco treats usually meant a pile of interceptions for the other team. The Alex Smith experiment has failed, miserably. Who else has been quarterback for that woeful team? Jim Druckenmiller? They've had more one game failures then Roger Federer's opponents.

Meanwhile, Green Bay should be able to get a big lead and hold it. They'll be rolling at home and already beat a much better Dallas Cowboys team by a far bigger margin. Their defense is fairly solid and Brett Farve's replacement still isn't better than Brett Farve and that silver-haired veteran is like 60, but Aaron Rogers is pretty competent. It's hard to remember that he played at Cal along the same time Matt Leinert, you know mired in medocrity Matt, who played at USC and was considered the better player.

This game is as close to a gimme as there is, bet the house especially if you can get it at under 6 like it opened.

San Diego pick 'em

Thought about taking the Eagles when this line was in their favor but it has swung all the way to a pick 'em and I will take that as a sign that all of Filthadelphia has hit the Kool-Aid again, conveniently forgetting that Andy Reid can't manage games late. And that they are on the road all the way across the country. San Diego is the pick, despite Norv.

Cowboys -3

Speaks volumes about how bad I think the Packers are, plus the Cowboys have been playing well lately and should cover in the Brokeback Bowl. Pardon my absence last weekend-- I was at the Breeders' Cup last weekend and barely found the time to get a 5-teamer together, let alone make a pick. I will make it up to you guys by making another pick around the 1:00 PM hour, if no one takes the game that I am eyeing.

Speaking of the greatest college basketball player of all-time, this is a from a few weeks ago on Jeopardy:

Atlanta -1.5

Denver is a money pick as well but can't do it. Heading down to Fed Ex for what will likely be my last game of the season.

I thirst for a victory myself Juice Man -- and once again I deliver.

PTL

Freezer Burn

More like a worn out "Arkansas" Freddy Barnett jersey, RIP Hamilton shorts and a blackberry storm set on vibrate in my shorts and yes that is the picture of 2-8. That's right, #2 is locked in this week:

Saints -13.5 against the Rams - thank god I'm not matched up against Brees in my fantasy league this week. I think the Phi Delt Hardyball team could give it to the Rams...obviously I mean the Delt squad that we posted after you scrubs graduated.

Stay Thirsty My Friends

Michigan +8.5

I'm liking the nfl games this week but sticking with my normal routine of college. thought about taking 1-8 yes 1-8 wash st at +17. 1-8 is hard to fathom but then lo & behold we know what 1-8 looks like. think worn out randall cunningham jersey, XXL khalid el-amin shorts, and carrying a pager from his wife.

this should be a close game. cant find a line on the spiders-lehigh opening bball game, worried that might be close too.

Too Soon For Kareem Reference?

Probably but Dooleyera has a point. This league is all of sudden on life support, it should be named the SchiavoLeague (not too soon).

I mention getting some readers on here and people scurry into their hovels like somebody coughed on them and said "Just a touch of the swine flu."

I concur standings would be an easy fix. I know only Captain Freeze in Conneticutt is keeping me from last place, but I'd still like to see the rankings. Somebody who can access the layout tab (shoats) should cut and paste the spreadsheet tracking us. You can update it each week on the side. Would take 5 minutes a week, if that.

I don't know how Green Baby is a dog at home even though the cowboys are 6-2 (5-2?) and the puckers have lost a few in a row. I don't pick against the Boys but somebody should jump on that game. Speaking of Jump on It.



Those staches are world class. That's phenomenal. It's worth watching just to catch Ro-ro's cameo on the drums. Hit the skins, sheriff. What's that got to do with jump on it. Well, the Sugar Hill Gang made that song their own at the dawn of rap, and a decade later Sir-Mix-A-Lot made it his joint. Since we have our own Sir-Miss-A-Lots of sports betting here's that version:



That's bad essentially a call out song to every single area code in the country. You know it's bad when your shout outs include Little Rock, Columbus, Tacoma and Portland. "So come on up to the 702. Where it's legal to gamble and ho'ing is too."

Now for my real pick which I trust you guys will jump on quicker than Phish fans on a parking lot balloon vendor, West Virginia +9.5. If you got some extra cash and can find a money line pick put it on the 'eers. Cincy goes down this week.

For completionists here's the sugar hill gang.



"you can put me to the test, at your request, I'll rock you out of your moccasins."

cyberleague kareemed

kareem abdul-jabbar's prognosis is much better than the cyberleague. 2 didnt even make picks last week. this league is a kevin mchale clothesline away from being done. that was on rambis not kareem. nobody could clothesline kareem except andre the giant and big john stud. those 2 are more alive than the cyberleague. all because there are no standings.

EJ's Pick - Seattle -11

Give me Seattle -11, Detroit is still awful and should lose by 2 TDs on the road.

New England -10.5

LSU +9

The line is simply too big for two defenses that are this good.

How do you boys feel...

About this being linked on the GCP site? Fresh content is always good and some of you are funny.

BTW, Roro did you say you think, you THINK, Blake was there for Quack-Quack? I think Jordan was there when the Bulls won all those championships in the 90s. I think Michael Jackson was there for some of the good moments of the Jackson five.

I'm taking the Flukeins.

My cabal of survival pool teammates don't like Atlanta this week. Granted a monday night hangover is normal, though no one has said that about the Saints at home--and I tend to put the tired legs on the winner unless it's a huge cross-country trip--which it wasn't for the ATL. Atlanta hasn't played badly and are a pretty decent team. The dreadskins are well, just ask John Riggins.

Yes, they are coming off a bye, I knew there was a reason they didn't lose last week, but please, this will be a thrashing in Georgia.

Lather Up

After getting off the schneid last week I think we all feel the heat wave coming. It may be November but with the heater I'm about to unleash its going to feel like the 4th of July.

I'll take the biggest lock on the board:
GB -10....um is this a misprint? Can I bet my house and my car? The yucks are awful and the Pack is pissed, this equals a recipe for an epic blowout a la me vs roro in a game of one on one.

PTL I posted some bonus locks for you on Proven Plays

Stay Thirsty My Friends

quack quack

who else was at the infamous quack quack incident at outdoor patio at Mulligans in Richmond? I believe both Blake & Bill were present. This was after a JMU-Richmond football game. quack quack!

give me the Ducks -7. Stanfraud is 4-0 at home but the Ducks are on a roll (butter) and have to think they have enough to wear them down and cover this #.

Oregon -7 is the play. Other recorded plays are available at 1-888-Perry07.

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Okay. Enough of the begging. Thanks for all ya'lls support already.

Minn +3

No witty commentary this week. Not a great pick, but I missed the early games and this is what's left.

Picking it...

Good pick Rory. Don't know if I'd call it a "bounceback" game after Auburn lost three straight. Though, they did finally rebound from the schneide... last year they never did.

Odd, after Auburn beat West Virginia I said West Virginia could win the Big East. I then said well I guess that means Auburn is pretty good. However, I've since determined they are just good, which doesn't cut it in the SEC West this year.

They remind me of the Dolphins except a college version. Talented starting 11 on defense but no bench (check). A wide variety of offensive weapons including a bench quarterback who basically goes into shotgun and runs (check, check). A starting quarterback that is more Trent Dilfer than Tim Tebow (check). Gimmicky offense which can put good defenses on their heels (check) but should they give up an early lead to a good team pretty much toast (check).

See that last sentence... why I'm scared to pick against or for Auburn or the Phins this year. So good job Rory they are a tough team to sports betting handicap. LSU trashed Auburn but a point I tried to get across to Ryan, with little success, was that had those four early calls been called right, they would have at least have had a chance in that game. Yes, they likely still would have lost, but they'd have a fighting chance. LSU extended the lead and the minimum 10 point swing the refs gave them, and it was over. Once their playbook is limited due to having to come back and needing to rely on the passing game, they are done. Same with Miami.

I've gotten into some pretty healthy debates about the dolphins where people dismiss their offense as a gimmick. Some guys told me the wildcat did nothing against the Saints, the dolphins only gained x amount of yards in that formation, which is garbage. The threat of the wildcat makes other formations more successful. The Saints didn't know what the Dolphins were running until they broke formation.

The Dolphins rolled against the Saints when they were able to use every page in their playbook, when Tony Saprano got away from the Wildcat and stopped balancing their attack their offense struggled. Look, Jonathan Vilma showed why you shouldn't run the option in the NFL on any given play, but being willing to do so, and the potential running the option and having to defend it does open up things.

Okay... enough editorializing... time for a game day pick...
Is san francisco really two touchdowns worse than the colts? Hmmm, almost want to pounce on that game.
Tn hasn't won a game and is favored by 3? WTF? Jacksonville has to be a gimme right? Or I don't know something.
Ignorance is bliss. Give me Jacksonville.

Raiders +17