Saturday, December 19, 2009

Dead as a Doornail

My feelings toward this league but I'll still drop a winner in for you clowns for tomorrow:

Dreadskins +3 -- they end the G-Men's miserable season on Sunday

Stay Thirsty My Friends

Sunday, December 13, 2009

Philly -1.5

Line is all over the place but crappy weather in NJ is never good for Eli. Philly owns the GMen in December so this line is way too low. Philly is the pick.

Friday, December 11, 2009

Now for some Real Football Sports Betting

I'll give you guys a little update as I know a few of you anti-homers will want to bet against the U.S. in the next world cup. Anytime you do sports betting you want to be informed. So, to keep those of you out of the loop somewhat in it... here's some real football news...

Sascha Kljeinsteins (however you spell it) has a hot girlfriend. A lot of countries, Brazil recently have differed on the role sex plays in an athlete's performance. Some suggest it enhances it, some think it burns too much energy. If Sascha makes the team and if sex is a good thing, I'm sure he'll be bringing his lady friend to South African and getting healthy and prepared for the match. Even though he's been playing pretty bad of late, she'll probably get him back to the top of his game in no time. Wonder if they did any studies about the burdens of a high maintence woman on an athlete's performance. She's probably already tiring of his MLS salary.

Landon Donovan, who recently underwent a separation and maybe a divorce from his beautiful TV star wife may get signed by Premier Team Everton which means as an American I'd have to root for the guy in all EPL matches but two (I pull for their same city derby rivals Liverpool). This is kind of like being a UNC fan and rooting for NC State because a local kid was playing there. I'm going to feel sleazy doing it... and hope he scores three in every game but loses four-three. Actually that doesn't work because he'll joining American Tim Howard on the team, and I don't want Howard giving up goals so I'm really in a bind.

If this happens it's HUGE for LD and the national team. He needs some stiffer competition. This is a top 25 to 30 club in the world--and a place where I think he'd shine. He's really a top 25 to 30 player in the world even if the international and snobbish-if-you-don't-play-in-Europe-you-can't-play-press doubts him (see Americans about international basketball players and the NBA if you want to relate).

There is a fear among American soccer fans that in advance of England-USA's first round game in the World Cup that the Premier League Coaches will let our players rot on the benches. Everton will sign Donovan and destroy his confidence and form by sitting him every game. Suddenly, Clint Dempsey who has been carrying Fulham will be carrying the luggage to and from the bus and not get out of his warm-ups. Promising Jozy Altidore who is getting time at Hull City will stop getting time. Etc, etc. It's an interesting premise. It will certainly give Freddy Adu a new excuse for his Damon Bailey type career.

For those keeping track since our great run at the Confederations Cup we've had promising star Charlie Davies barely survive a car crash that killed a girl, hulking defender of American Soccer and AC Milan signee Gooch blow out his knee, Jay DeMerit and Jonathan Spector (two other impressive defenders who play in England) have battled injuries and several other guys stumbled on their club teams. Son of U.S. serviceman and former German National team player Jermaine Jones, now considered an American by a new Fifa ruling celebrated his eligibility by getting hurt too, yeah, this guy will probably start from day one if he gets healthy.

As dire as things have gotten... we still get out of the group of average along with England. If we get over the shellacking they lay on us... 3 nil at least, they are are going to come out firing guns blazing and we'll be overmatched in game one. But there is hope for the US to get to knockout stage. It's six months away and already I'm excited.

Thursday, December 10, 2009

Tiger, Tiger, Tiger Woods, Don't Bet on Him but Bet on the Saints

Yet another road game for the Saints... Yet another double digit spread for the undefeated favorites. Atlanta is a divisional rival that beats the Saints when they shouldn't and have had their number for years.

That being said the turf toe on starting quarterback Matt Ryan and the high ankle sprain on starting running back Michael Turner are two of the worst types of injuries for their positions. Quarterback has to throw effectively and a turf toe is brutal for that. Running back has to be able to cut and obviously a high ankle sprain doesn't help. Then throw in an offensive line that is decimated with injuries leaving both these battered players vulnerable.

The Saints got over their Monday night hangover, anointing themselves as champions before the playoffs and the redskins attempt to "crown" them. The Saints will cruise over the Falcons. I don't like that the Iggles just crushed ATL because they should have a little more fight in em. We saw the Giants last week, a team left for dead, find some vigor vs. the Cowboys and that could happen here, but more likely the Saints pin 40 on the defense that used to be. They only had to replace 6 or 7 key guys from last year.

If the Falcons were an injury, they'd be a leg hanging on by skin after a landmine explosion. This team lacks cartilage, bone, and muscle. A gimme. Take the Saints and the big spread and sleep easy Saturday night. Granted Matt Ryan and Michael Turner turn up healthy on the Falcons offense and this could be a game, but unless the Flukeins are doing a little Beli-cheating and angle shooting this is not likley to happen. Everything that is being reported is these guys are not likely to play.

Last week I gave you two gimmes and two terrible picks. Vikes and Saints were bad, the Saints struggled for all the reasons I listed (and I still picked them--dumb), the Vikings had a letdown, and Arizona woke up (again) and remembered they still have the talent that took them to the Superbowl. I also banged the WVA-Rutgers game out of the park and told you Miami would win outright vs. New England. That should have been my Lock of the Week... home dog instead of homer pick (okay quasi-homer pick) with the Saints. Home underdogs are generally safe bets, making Road favorites bad bets. Going against conventionally wisdom I bet on the road favorite instead of the home underdog. Next I'll be betting favorites in the first round of the NCAAs.

This week isn't a homer pick. I've done my due diligence, I'm green lighting it, fire up your sports betting accounts and put a little money on the black and gold.

Now... time for a Tiger Woods video. There is some part of me that feels bad for the guy, then there is another part of me laughing at that part of me. He has everything, everything, have you seen his wife, well apart from her being disgustingly ugly, he had everything. If you are bad at detecting sarcasm, I was being sarcastic.



Please don't blame it on the alcohol, Tiger...



By the way... I like Hot Clicks on Si.com... Don't think Tiger would blame it on the alcohol as he seems to be a borderline Ambien addict. His mistresses talk about it, sounds like he was driving on it, and there has to be some concern the guy could pull a Heath Ledger Andy now that he is cooped up in his private yacht named Privacy.

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Hoops lock Tuesday

Northern Iowa - 11 at home vs. Iowa. NIU is the pick.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Hoops lock of the day

Your choice. Portland -3.5 or the Over 201 in NYK/Portland game. Portland gets 96 a game, Knicks will up that by about 7-9 easily while gunning themselves. Knicks give up 108 while scoring 104 a game.

Also, Knicks played yesterday and are 0-5 in back-to-backs so far this year.

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Chargers -13.5

Happy Birthday Foro

Dallas -1.5

Lock of the week: Dallas -1.5 @ NYG. Did Vegas even see the Thanksgiving turd the GMen dropped? This line is way off.

Patriots -5 @ Dolphins

Patsies get back on track -- and so do I.

Aints are in town this week and I'm skipping the slaughter. Would love to see us keep it respectable but this could get ugly. Grass and cold weather is all we have going for us -- along with nothing really to lose.

I say Hail to the Redskins today, but I shall be cheering for the Saints the rest of the way out. Would be nice to see them make a Supa Beux run.

Who dat?

Friday, December 4, 2009

dead

cyberleague on its last breath. someone call time of death already. asking for standings is like talking to a wall...or maybe liek talking that chick Christine Sanders from UR.

picking a game anyway, & screw it I'll take a big game. give me the semis of national champ....bama +5 1/2.

What are the Standings?

Just curious... I've been on a bit of heater and wondered if that brought me back to .500 and that's probably good enough to be Ker-rushing this piss poor league of game selectors. Today, I'm anxious about the United States inevitably drawing the group of death in the World Cup Selection show. I set my Tivo to record it and it's like three hours long. Since when did a powerball show last more than a commercial.

This will probably make CBS annual bore me to tears selection show look riveting. Fortunately for me in terms of picking you guys are the exact opposite of the group of death. If we were doing eliminations or some sort of monetary prize you might as well replace ya'lls name with the word bye.

This week I didn't look at the games and have one jump out at me. That's not true a couple of days ago I did, and now I don't. I've contemplated banging the Saints but in most years this game is the perfect recipe for a let-down game. I don't know how many times I've said that about the Saints this year, trap game, let-down game, looking ahead on the schedule game, and they always seem resilient.

Still, I'm scared because DC has played well of late and play solid, solid defense. I don't think they can score enough offensively to stay in the game but if Brees and company think they have a cake walk ahead of them, it's a bad bet. However, you got to figure there is value in taking the Saints -10. Play that game 100 times and you have to figure most outcomes have them winning by two touchdowns or more.

Maybe I will pick the Saints.

Where's Aaron Rogers when I need him? Green Baby have a bye this week (like me every week).

Miami... I kind of like them to win outright. They are a dog at home to New England? Value in betting Miami too. Again play that game 100 times and you have to think Miami covers the 4 points more times than they don't. New England has yet to win a road game and are also coming off a Monday night tilt.

How many winners can one guy dole out in a week? Here's another one Minnesota -3 at Arizona. Arizona hasn't won a big game all year at home. That's not going to change when the explosive Vikings hit town. All Day Adrian Petereson runs roughshod over the Cardinals like it's the old NFC East again. Neil Lomax where are ya? Oh, is that you in Matt Linert's uniform.

Incidentally, there are two things you guys need to be reading. One, this interesting blog about handicapping NFL games and the element of luck in the NFL. It's actually quite fascinating. And this other guy's blog applying that to poker (scroll down it's a multi-parter). Put into context it really justifies why there are no "locks" even in skill games.

It's also fascinating to see the distribution of records in the NFL if games were decided only by luck--and how not too far different it would look than the league today.

But who am I going to pick this week?

None of the college games jump out at me besides WVA Rutgers and that's glowing like a cartoon toe that just had an anvil dropped on it. Something must be amiss with Rutgers a favorite in that one. I like West Virgina to win by a touchdown or more. I kind of like the 6 points one of the online sites is giving Alabama, but Auburn proved just how vulnerable that team is, so I'll avoid that game. It could get ugly fast, and I have no idea how good Florida really is.

Hmmm...

I guess that limits my picks to the Aints (again), Miami, or Minnesota. Two are road games, don't like that. Miami is a home underdog... like that. Ah, screw it I'm taking the Saints.