Tuesday, February 22, 2011

New Leader in the clubhouse

Is he in the clubhouse? I guess not... but let's go with it. Rory has caught and passed Stephen Gerztoff. Team Ro-Ro has been carried to the finish line by the stand-out play of George Mason and UCLA. While the CAA may get three bids this year, GMU has been tearing that conference up like the University of Richmond used to do. UCLA plays in the Pac 10, which may get two bids this year... ugh... and has been basically enjoying being slighty better than the little sisters of the poor.

College basketball is sometimes like poker in that you don't even have to be a good poker player to make money, you just have to be better than everybody else in the game. UCLA, with the exception of Arizona, is just better than the Pac 10. I don't think anybody is banking on them winning too many games in the NCAAs but the conference season is a lot longer than the tournament.

Steve and Rory share Pittsburgh and Illinois. Pitt despite winning 25 games last year is only one win away from tieing that mark. Illinois has faltered of late in the arduous big 10 and looks to be the anchor of both players slates. Stephen's combo of Arizona/Georgia is right there with Rory's selection of UCLA/Mason. With Arizona a little bit than UCLA and Mason a little better than Georgia.

Which means the pool may be decided by how well Stephen's Mizzou does against Ro-ro's Florida. Personally, I like Rory as Florida should have an easier conference tournament and a higher NCAA seed.

Meanwhile, Big Daddy has also emerged as a viable contender. He's is the third player to cross the magical 100 win mark and like Rory and Stephen is all profit from here on out. BD's first year in the pool has been significant. He has three teams than neither Rory or Stephen has so his focus will be on Memphis regrouping, Creighton getting hot, and North Carolina emerging as a high seed in a weaker ACC.

Behind Big Daddy is Georff Perry who is two wins short of 100. He shares no teams with Rory and two with Gerztoff, and only one with Big Daddy. Fairfield, Conneticutt, and Michigan State are all his own. Perhaps the best possible scenario for Perry would be for Conneticutt to catch Pitt in the Big East, Fairfield to keep winning (they could get to almost 30 this year), and for Michigan State to head to the N.I.T. and go deep.

Izzo is a master of tournament performance, though his team with a low seed in the NCAAs would have a battle every game. They likely would be the class of the second tier tournament. Wonder if he'd have too much pride to play in the N.I.T.

On the other side of things, Martin Tyson has his work to do just to reach 100. It's been some time since a player fell short of "profiting" from one year to the next. With two teams 10 wins shy, and one 6 wins shy it'll be an uphill climb.

The rest of us? We are a whole bunch of mediocre.

Monday, February 7, 2011

What a Long Time it's been...

Maybe it has been since before Christmas since the last update. Taking a break from updating my poker news website I'm finally posting on this blog again. BTW, speaking of poker, Blake took a piece of me in a tournament last year, and won the Lock of the Week prize which was 5% of me in another tournament. Anyway, dude won $50 as I cashed in that event. So congrats to him.

Not that he's in this pool... but I will be selling pieces of myself again in the Spring Break event at the Beau Rivage this year again. I'll pick one tournament and try to sell most of myself. Let me know if you want a piece. On to our regularly schedule program...

Anyway, the spreadsheet shows Pitt still has the most wins of any team in the pool (helped by their win on Monday night which I think already hit ESPN standings... wins after I did the update won't count. Wah, wah). Marist still has the least amount. Marist also got a 1/4 of its wins since the last update. That would be 1.

Some trends to notice from the delay in updating. Newcomer Big Daddy Spickard (who is not Rory's father in law) is pushing the vets and has slotted into third place behind Stephen Gerztoff and Rory Obrien. Rory is only one win behind Stephen. Rory's success is partly due to George Mason who had the most wins since the last update: 9.

Rory loves him some Goo Moos in a down CAA. Rory's eating his Mac and Cheese with a tall glass of shut up juice as he cheers for the Green and Gold. George Mason is also the team with the highest win total from last year to already have surpassed it. 17 to 19.

Fairfield's decimation of thier league (8 wins since last update) has enable Geoff Perry to get in contention. Perry is running fourth which is kind of a big deal for him. Fourth is like first to Geoff, at least that's what his mother would say when she'd make a ribbon for his fourth place finish in the sack race despite there being four entrants. Considering more than four are playing this unchartered waters.

The Pac 10 is down. UCLA and Arizona have hit their stride beating up on the cream puffs (AZ 8 wins, UCLA 7 since last update). This is really the part of the pull that changes gears on players. It's a tale of two seasons (three when you count the postseason), as early on some teams like say Illinois look destined for greatness and others mediocrity, such as UCLA, but this year the Big 10 is loaded and the Pac 10 not so much.

As schools like Minnesota (4), Illinois (3), and to a lesser degree Michigan State (3) because they weren't on track in the nonconference, are finding out it's hard to win games in the big 10. Suddenly, without Illinois pacing Stephen others are in contention.

North Carolina, like Duke has won 7 games since last go round, and are enjoying the ease of the ACC. Don't tell that to NC State who have come unglued and only won twice. The Big 12 is beating up on each other like the big 10, with KState finding only four wins, Mizzou 5, Texas 7 (not bad), and Bayl0r 5.

Florida's seven wins contrasted by LSU's two probably indicates in the SEC good teams win and bad teams don'. Only the aforementioned Marist and Loyola Marymount (also 2) won as few games as LSU. UCONN is trying to keep pace with Pitt and 7 wins means they've been strong.

Smaller conference teams that were supposed to have an easier go in conference but haven't include Houston 3, American 4, Cal SB 5, Creighton 5, and Nichols State 5.

6 teams have surpassed last years win total. American is 5 ahead (16 vs. 11), Arizona 4 ahead (20 vs. 16), Marist 3 ahead (4 vs. 1), Georgia 2 ahead (16 vs. 14), UCLA 2 ahead (16 v. 14), GMU 2 ahead (19 v. 16).

Nichols State has broken even 11 and 11, so too UCONN 18 and 18. The team with the most work to do is Michigan State (-15) 13 vs. 28. Then Duke (-14) 21 v. 35, Baylor (-13) 15 v. 28, Kansas State (-13) 16 v. 29.

Whoa... hold up, just discovered an error in my spreadsheet. Pool Rookie Martin Tyson was getting credit for Fairfield's wins instead of Loyola Marymount. Fixing it, that puts him dead last and gives Geoff Roswick a chance to save face. Tyson, has two teams in the single digits in terms of wins--the only two teams in the pool. Ughh.

Course Geoff, though five wins ahead of Martin Tyson, is the only player in the pool without a team with more than 17 wins.

Okay... you guys keep an eye out for any other errors that might be hidden in the spreadsheet. Normally, somebody catches that but normally I update a little more often.